Thursday, March 12, 2009

The One Seed Breakdown

With UCONN and Pitt both losing today, the 1 seed picture suddenly becomes extremely murky. Time for a Breakdown!

1. UNC - A lock for a 1 seed.

2. Memphis - Will earn a 1 seed if they win C-USA tournament.

3. Michigan State - Will earn a 1 seed if they win the Big 10 tournament.

4. Louisville - Will earn a 1 seed with a win over Villanova tomorrow.

5. Duke/Wake Forest - Will earn a 1 seed if they win the ACC tournament, and one of the 3 previous things does not occur.

6. Pitt - Will earn a 1 seed if 2 of the previous 4 things do not occur.

7. UConn - Will earn a 1 seed if 3 of the 4 things Numbered 2-5 do not occur. (Confusing, eh?)

8. Washington, Missouri, Villanova - If none of things listed in steps 2-5 occur, and any of these teams win their conference tournament, they could be in line for a 1 seed.

10. If none of the things listed in steps 2-5, or 8 occur, I would give the final one seed to Memphis.
It's amazing that 11 teams could still conceivably get a 1 seed. Washington, Missouri and Villanova are EXTREME reaches.

Tourney Field, March 13th

Projected Tournament Field, March 13th, 1:00 AM CT
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1 Louisville
16 CS-N'ridge

8
Butler
9 . Wisconsin

4
Kansas
13 American

5
Florida St
12 Siena

3 Missouri
14 . ETSU

6
WVU
11 S.D. State

7
LSU
10 Utah St

2 Mich St.
15 Cornell
1 Memphis
16 Morehead St.

8
Okla St.
9 Minnesota

4
Syracuse
13 Buffalo

5
Clemson
12 VCU

3
Wake Forest
14 S.F. Austin

6
Purdue
11 Creighton

7
Texas
10 So. Car

2 UCONN
15 Radford
1 UNC
16
Morgan St.

8
Cal
9 Ohio State

4
Xavier
13 West. Ky

5
Gonzaga
12
Florida

3 Villanova
14 ND St

6
Arizona St.
11 Boston C.

7 BYU
10 Michigan

2
Oklahoma
15 Portland St
1 Pittsburgh
16
ASU/Chat

8
Tennessee
9 . Dayton

4
UCLA
13 N. Iowa

5
Illinois
12 Cleve. St

3
Washington
14 Binghamton

6
Marquette
11 Penn St.

7
Utah
10 Tex A&M

2
Duke
15 Rob. Mor.


Could Make It Right Now:

1.
St. Mary's
2. Arizona

Can Still Earn It:
1 USC
2. Maryland
3.
Va Tech
4. Kentucky (Would need wins over LSU and South Carolina, and loss in finals would have to be against Tennessee...and they would still need some help)

All Done, and It Doesn't Look Good:

1.
New Mexico
2. Providence
3. Davidson
4. UNLV


Bids by Conference - Big 10 (8), Big East (7), ACC (6), Big 12 (6), Pac 10 (4), SEC (4), MWC (3), Atlantic 10 (2), MVC (2)


Moving Up -
Syracuse, WVU, Okla St., S.D. State


Moving Down - UNLV, UCONN, Kansas, Clemson

New Additions -
S.D. State
Happy Trails - Arizona